Kentucky Derby co-favorite Omaha Beach (along with Roadster, recorded at 7/2 chances about the Westgate SuperBook’s futures board) is coping with a lingering quarter fracture difficulty that he sustained back in a February race at Santa Anita. The old injury was treated a week with a fresh patch, a fresh pair of sneakers and was described as»routine maintenance,» by blacksmith Ben Craft, who has worked on Omaha Beach because the crack was discovered.
The quarter crack should not be a problem. This colt has run well before with the injury, winning the Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby. Trainer Richard Mandella does not play , and when this horse was not sound and feeling good, he wouldn’t be heading to Louisville.
That being said, an accident is never a fantastic thing about the Triple Crown trail, and even the tiniest bruise or cut so close to the big race is concerning.
Still, very few backers of Omaha Beach will jump ship because of his quarter fracture — the harm will have little effect on the wagering.
Where is the betting value in Kentucky Derby futures chances?
I think Omaha Beach will be the post-time favorite in the 2019 Kentucky Derby and will go off at odds between 3/1 and 4/1, therefore the 7/2 futures price offered at the Westgate presents little to no value. The exact same can be stated for Roadster at 7/2, Improbable at 5/1, Maximum Security at 5/1 and Game Winner at 7/1. All these high choices have a fantastic chance of going off at higher odds. Keep in mind, if you bet a horse at the futures pool and he does not run, you do not receive your money back as you would on a wager made on Derby Day.
The second tier of costs is a fantastic place to start looking for value. Tacitus and By My Standards are 14/1 here, also if you like those horses, that seems like a fair cost. War of Will in 16/1 and Code of Honor at 18/1 also appear to present decent value, as those odds could be knocked in half by post time.
If you’re looking for a horse with higher odds that might provide value, contemplate Win Win Win in 30/1. This fellow launched his age-old season with a 7 1/4-length victory from the Pasco Stakes on Jan. 19, breaking the track record. In his last outing, he closed to finish a fantastic second behind Vekoma in the Blue Grass Stakes. In 25/1, this horse is worth a shot off those attempts.
And if you like Win Win Win, you have to like Vekoma, winner of the Blue Grass, too. Additionally at 25/1, Vekoma offers value.
If you’re searching for a $100 horse using a shot, check out Anothertwistafate (40/1), Haikal (50/1) or Tax (80/1), who have all shown promise and the potential to jump up and become a celebrity on May 4.
It is a wide-open Kentucky Derby this year, and also the favorite will probably be at least 3/1 at post time. We have to always demand value in this match, and if you like one of the top five choices in this futures , the value just is not there. From time to time, it’s a wise move.
2019 Kentucky Derby futures odds As of Tuesday, May 23 in Westgate
Omaha Beach 7/2
Roadster 7/2
Improbable 5/1
Maximum Security 5/1
Game Winner 7/1
Tacitus 14/1
By My Standards 14/1
War Of Will 16/1
Code Of Honor 18/1
Vekoma 25/1
Spinoff 25/1
Win Win Win 30/1
Anothertwistafate 40/1
Haikal 50/1
Long Range Toddy 50/1
Tax 80/1
Cutting Humor 80/1
Country House 80/1
Plus Que Parfait 100/1
Gray Magician 100/1
Bodeexpress 100/1
Master Fencer 100/1
Signalman 100/1
Sueno 300/1
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