There’s a good deal of money to be obtained this week on DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the primary tournament. DK also has a lot of Qualifier competitions available this week, in which the last event will pay $50k into 1st if you did qualify to perform in it. I will be chasing those as well because we’ve never had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I really do think we’ve got a fun card this Saturday and I am ready to go into this 3-week break with a winning night at UFC 227. Listed below are a couple plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of the week.
Cash Game play of this week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in most DFS MMA and he’s the maximum ceiling as well. DJ is the P4P best fight on earth (not counting Jon Jones) and he’s beat Cejudo once before. This is the very first person I am plugging in my money LU this week and I advise you to do the same. DJ is almost sure to score at least 100-points in a triumph, and he has a -550 gambling line stating he must find the win again here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. You can stack this fight as well, however I think DJ is a must.
GPP play of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a great fight to goal this week since it most likely won’t visit a choice. Holland just fought the Contender Series that a few weeks ago and didn’t get a contract. But now he is on the PPV against one of the scariest strikers from the division. The ITD lineup for Santos is currently -210 and the below 1.5 rounds gambling line is -160. That tells me Vegas thinks this fight ends early and Santos is the man that should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he readily pays that cost off at a 1st round win and I think he has a good shot at doing exactly that. I really don’t care for him in money game formats however because both guys have very low floors, so this really is a GPP only play for me personally.
Underdog play of the week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everyone is composing Brett Johns following his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is why he’s so economical on DraftKings this weekend. Together with the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he has 100+ upside even in a decision triumph. Obviously, we’re concerned about him becoming caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but if he can avoid that I think he can win this battle and 10x his wages with a triumph. I really don’t think Johns will want to hit with Munhoz to get 15-minutes so I really do believe he is going to be shooting takedowns. Those takedowns could get him filed, or else they could get him a triumph over the scorecards. But that makes him a boom or bust play and that’s why he is a solid underdog to select in GPPs this past week.
Fade of the week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in an affordable $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still need a finish to pay that price label off with her fashion. She has the worst style potential for scoring DraftKings stage and even if she’s a win here she could wind up scoring significantly less than some losers on the card. Taylor will be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so if you would like to spend your cash on a 115 pound woman with a»punchers chance» of winning you a GPP, then you’ll be very contrarian taking that route. But I don’t have any interest in investing my money into that I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I had been making 150 lineups, I would still complete fade Taylor here.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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