I’ve given you my forecast and betting advice for the primary event at UFC 218 (Aldo vs Holloway). Now that the moneylines and props are out for the remainder of the card, it is time to get a UFC 218 deep dive.
Which underdogs have value? Which struggles should bettors avoid? Can you put together a lucrative parlay in the conflicts on tap? Let’s take a look.
UFC 219 Odds and Predictions: Cyborg vs. Holm
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Golden Underdogs
There’s no big’dog calling out to me. But there’s one man with this card who could withstand some odds.
Francis Ngannou (-270) vs. Alistair Overeem (+230)
Alistair Overeem might get merked with a larger and more powerful puncher in Francis Ngannou, however in the +230, he’s worth throwing a few pennies at. Normally I would put this struggle in the stay-away class, but this is a big test for Ngannou, a man who hasn’t been tested yet.
Overeem is a veteran of the sport and, although his chin might be suspect, he has among the best fight IQs from the heavyweight division. Kickboxing ability and his smarts could give us a big upset together with a nice profit. Don’t go crazy on this, however. Ngannou deserves to be favored. Overeem is worth a small wager.
Felice Herrig (-140) vs. Cortney Casey (+110)
Cortney Casey isn’t a massive dog, but her +105 moneyline would still net you a good return and/or boost a parlay. Both fighters have looked strong, but stylistically, Casey appears to have the strength and size to give Herrig problems. The single woman who has been able to match Casey’s physicality was Claudia Gadelha and that woman is among the best in the branch. If Casey can pour on the strain, she can overwhelm Herrig and get a small upset win here. Again, do not go mad and throw down your entire bankroll, but Casey is worth a few shekels.
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