UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both guys come into this fight on career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there’s a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with full power and relies on completing opponents. In a five round fight this strategy is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of his own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent output. On the toes both guys can have their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. As Santos tires that the takedowns will be open and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities must find Blachowicz a complete once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is fast with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing in some flashy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes with a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The major differential lies in the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown great takedown defense on the regional scene and relies on high risk submissions off his back. Against UFC calibre competitions this strategy rarely succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and look for excursions and takedowns to the mat where he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.70 Units.
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