LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with statement successes into this Saturdays game.
LSU beat the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams look to take a top-four place in the race over into College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 with three INTs, into making decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college football. This includes the 45 they dropped on the street on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow , the Gators come in Together with Death Valley awaitings roar. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 grading shield keep this near? Or will Burrow and also win the wager up and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Here is the breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in the ability of Burrow . He has converted to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the getting teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has good length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a presence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal that can fill the area. It is all part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the toughest DB unit they have played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by the other competitors of LSU: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Although its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of the standard of Burrow florida sits at 33rd. They have played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on irregular so far at the other corner spot, but nevertheless has a ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will face a ominous pass-rush, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, considered to function as best pass-rusher coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though his consciousness must enhance he has yet to get flustered by an opposing defensive line. Auburns is the best in the country, and ranks 11th in defensive line yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be 85th in bag rate. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. The Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not mobile outside of it. He also sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
With the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU—such as Floridas secondary—is often regarded as DBU for the talent they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman team, or even longer, in 2019.
On the other side of him would likely be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who let the smallest quantity of first downs. Although this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be a force if given an opportunity against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be as crucial as ever for Florida, who hasnt got their running game going yet this season. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the point on his way to a 88-yard TD run last weekend. Despite this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also is currently going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front might not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and that is like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky game.
It puts ways stress on Trask at a hostile atmosphere, if they dont buy Dameon or Perine Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned admiration from the school football world. And while I do not expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this sport staying nearer than many.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is just one of the more smart QBs from the FBS. However, LSU isnt going to put up 45 or anything close to that against a defense whos shown at all three levels. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
As the group has relied upon them much too much to alter the wave in matches, the Gators defense will wear out over time. Marco Wilson will be the subject from the physiological Chase or Jefferson into some late-game PIs.
But I dont anticipate this till late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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