Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

According to gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick are the favorites in +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using historic benefits and 2018 loop information, we provide pick to a championship and also handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to fight for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015),» Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one tournament in their own professions, while Logano is attempting to secure his first.

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It is not surprise to see Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as»The Big Three» combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this year. Logano scored two wins himself, but awakened 25 endings to make his shot.

Employing historical loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to ascertain the best bet to win the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
While Homestead-Miami joins a handful of other MENCS tracks at 1.5 miles in length, there really are not any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead offers progressive banking, which allows drivers to conduct many lines, together with the top lane often the quickest.

The track surface is also quite abrasive, which wears out tires and makes rubberized a huge benefit.

With tire wear creating cars hard to drive and progressive banking allowing motorists to choose different lines, passing is easier here than most other 1.5-mile paths which are overly reliant on aero for pace and so create follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to analyze the previous four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races might appear a little random, but that amount was chose by me for two specific reasons. 2014 was the very first year which NASCAR went to the playoff format where drivers advance through the game’s playoff until four stay to the title at Homestead.

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