Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

According to betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick are the favorites in +200, followed closely by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing historic results and 2018 loop data, we provide gambling pick to a championship and handicap the race.
Following 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have made the right to fight for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015),» Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have notched one tournament in their professions, while Logano is trying to secure his first.

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It is not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still alive, as»The Big Three» combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past season. Logano scored two wins himself, but rode 25 finishes to make his shot.

Using historical loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to determine the best bet to acquire the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a handful of additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 mph, there really are not any other people on the circuit like it.

Homestead offers banking, which enables many lines to conduct .

The track surface itself is also quite abrasive, and which makes rubber a huge advantage and wears out tires.

With tire wear creating automobiles hard to drive and progressive banking allowing drivers to select unique lines, passing is easier here than at most other 1.5-mile paths which are overly reliant upon aero for pace and so create follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to analyze the four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Applying four races may seem a little arbitrary, but I chose on that amount . 2014 was the very first year that NASCAR went into the current playoff format in which drivers advance through the playoff of the sport until four stay to race .

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